Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.446877 0.489736 0.535610 0.588485 0.647892 0.712745 0.789125
2026-02-01 0.369444 0.427597 0.494165 0.576498 0.676266 0.794106 0.945095
2026-02-08 0.330172 0.396488 0.475963 0.579214 0.711264 0.876476 1.101994
2026-02-15 0.298767 0.369161 0.456593 0.574705 0.732475 0.939428 1.237336
2026-02-22 0.276952 0.350645 0.445032 0.576947 0.760060 1.010668 1.389360
2026-03-01 0.255615 0.330316 0.428508 0.569783 0.772512 1.060481 1.514861
2026-03-08 0.236925 0.311689 0.412232 0.560665 0.780111 1.102539 1.631992
2026-03-15 0.218052 0.291246 0.391611 0.543098 0.772928 1.120773 1.712582
2026-03-22 0.210323 0.285623 0.391101 0.554258 0.809055 1.207820 1.914377
2026-03-29 0.202702 0.279496 0.389204 0.562819 0.841404 1.291474 2.120726
2026-04-05 0.194532 0.271950 0.384542 0.566475 0.865812 1.363961 2.316346
2026-04-12 0.186644 0.264266 0.379041 0.568153 0.886738 1.432091 2.512545
2026-04-19 0.179929 0.258069 0.375575 0.573094 0.914057 1.515159 2.751763
2026-04-26 0.169885 0.246228 0.362618 0.561489 0.911767 1.544618 2.888527
2026-05-03 0.163852 0.240228 0.358440 0.564119 0.934614 1.622717 3.137748
2026-05-10 0.156826 0.232257 0.350569 0.559753 0.944183 1.676116 3.341597
2026-05-17 0.151670 0.226962 0.346687 0.561924 0.965842 1.755265 3.615751
2026-05-24 0.145122 0.219076 0.338047 0.554988 0.969475 1.798097 3.811896
2026-05-31 0.138684 0.211053 0.328731 0.546158 0.968591 1.831254 3.989863
2026-06-07 0.131200 0.200971 0.315415 0.529143 0.950117 1.824985 4.067852
2026-06-14 0.129062 0.199680 0.317071 0.539953 0.988381 1.946160 4.497456
2026-06-21 0.126600 0.197711 0.317409 0.548243 1.022142 2.061233 4.934062
2026-06-28 0.123500 0.194500 0.315369 0.551784 1.046174 2.156719 5.335556